Communities at risk
Tuaregs, Arabs, Maure and others in the north
Summary
Violence in Malicontinues to spiral out of control and spill into neighbouring states. In swathes of territory where state authority is minimal, armed Islamist groups – namely the Malian branch of alQaeda in the Sahel, several supporting factions, and the Islamic State in the Greater Sahara – continue to launch attacks on civilian targets and… Read more »
Peoples Under Threat Data
| 2020 Data | Peoples under Threat value |
|---|---|
| Self-determination conflicts | 4 |
| Major armed conflict | 2 |
| Prior genocide / politicide | No data |
| Flight of refugees and IDPs | 0.0166 |
| Legacy of vengeance - group grievance | 8.4 |
| Rise of factionalized elites | 5.7 |
| Voice and Accountability | -0.309 |
| Political Stability | -2.051 |
| Rule of Law | -0.798 |
| OECD country risk classification | 7 |
| TOTAL | 14.55 |
The overall measure for each country is based on a basket of 10 indicators. The number in each row is drawn from the source for that particular indicator. The sources of data and calculations used are detailed on the Notes to Table page.
Background
Violence in Malicontinues to spiral out of control and spill into neighbouring states. In swathes of
territory where state authority is minimal, armed Islamist groups – namely the Malian branch of alQaeda in the Sahel, several supporting factions, and the Islamic State in the Greater Sahara – continue to launch attacks on civilian targets and the Malian army, who have perpetrated abuses as well. Armed Islamists are also fighting the counterinsurgency campaigns of France’s Operation Barkhane and the G5 Sahel Joint Force, mounted by a regional coalition of states. Making matters worse, the lines between Islamist insurgency and long-running ethnic conflict have become increasingly blurred, particularly in central Mopti region. Bloodshed has escalated between
herder communities and their Dozo self-defense groups, on the one hand, and on the other Fulani
pastoralists who have been accused of aligning with Islamist militants. Pressures on Mali’s population from a pre-existing, conflict-related state of emergency are compounded by its COVID-19 health emergency.