Communities at risk
Black Libyans, Sub-Saharan migrants, Tebu, Berbers
Summary
Libya ranked 11th in the 2019 Peoples under Threat data – no change from last year. Discord persists between Libya’s rival governments, backed by loyal or loosely affiliated militias and autonomous armed groups battling one another. After formidable territorial gains throughout 2018, the self styled Libyan National Army, led by Khalifa Haftar, advanced on Tripoli… Read more »
Peoples Under Threat Data
| 2019 Data | Peoples under Threat value |
|---|---|
| Self-determination conflicts | 4 |
| Major armed conflict | 2 |
| Prior genocide / politicide | No data |
| Flight of refugees and IDPs | 0.0 |
| Legacy of vengeance - group grievance | 7.8 |
| Rise of factionalized elites | 9.4 |
| Voice and Accountability | -1.443 |
| Political Stability | -2.326 |
| Rule of Law | -1.784 |
| OECD country risk classification | 7 |
| TOTAL | 17.70 |
The overall measure for each country is based on a basket of 10 indicators. The number in each row is drawn from the source for that particular indicator. The sources of data and calculations used are detailed on the Notes to Table page.
Background
Libya ranked 11th in the 2019 Peoples under Threat data – no change from last year.
Discord persists between Libya’s rival governments, backed by loyal or loosely affiliated militias and autonomous armed groups battling one another. After formidable territorial gains throughout 2018, the self styled Libyan National Army, led by Khalifa Haftar, advanced on Tripoli in April 2019 intending to capture the city from the UN-backed Government of National Accord. Haftar’s all-out push for military victory raises the stakes for all parties and risks skyrocketing casualties and other human rights abuses that have long been perpetrated by armed groups with impunity. Facebook and Twitter have become significant online battlefields, where adversaries – including many pro-Haftar bots – weaponize photos and video footage. In Libya’s south, Tebu, Tuareg, and Arab armed groups continue to fight over territory and resources. While weakened, ISIS and al-Qaeda linked fighters seek to regain influence.