Communities at risk
Black Libyans, Sub-Saharan migrants, Tebu, Berbers
Summary
Libya has predictably risen in the Peoples under Threat table. Renegade general Khalifa Haftar’s April 2019 offensive on the capital, Tripoli, appears to be defeated more than one year later, having generated the country’s worst violence since 2011. In Tripoli and across western Libya, civilians have been caught in the middle of fighting between forces… Read more »
Peoples Under Threat Data
| 2020 Data | Peoples under Threat value |
|---|---|
| Self-determination conflicts | 4 |
| Major armed conflict | 2 |
| Prior genocide / politicide | No data |
| Flight of refugees and IDPs | 0.0426 |
| Legacy of vengeance - group grievance | 7.8 |
| Rise of factionalized elites | 9.7 |
| Voice and Accountability | -1.521 |
| Political Stability | -2.441 |
| Rule of Law | -1.786 |
| OECD country risk classification | 7 |
| TOTAL | 17.97 |
The overall measure for each country is based on a basket of 10 indicators. The number in each row is drawn from the source for that particular indicator. The sources of data and calculations used are detailed on the Notes to Table page.
Background
Libya has predictably risen in the Peoples under Threat table. Renegade general Khalifa Haftar’s April 2019 offensive on the capital, Tripoli, appears to be defeated more than one year later, having generated the country’s worst violence since 2011. In Tripoli and across western Libya, civilians have been caught in the middle of fighting between forces aligned with Haftar’s so-called Libyan National Army, backed by an eastern government, and forces loyal to the UNrecognized Government of National Accord (GNA) in Tripoli. The conflict has become more intractable
due to the increased involvement of external powers, namely Turkey and Russia, who have fueled the bloodshed by funneling military and financial aid to opposing sides. Tribal and ethnic groups in Libya’s southern desert continue clashing over territory and resources and have been more-and-more involved in the wider conflict. The GNA has earmarked funds to fight a COVID-19 outbreak, but Libya is lacking medical staff and equipment.