Communities at risk
Amhara, Anuak, Afars, Oromo, Somalis, smaller minorities
Summary
A devastating civil war and humanitarian crisis in Ethiopia has now raged for more than a year with no end in sight. Large-scale armed conflict between the federal government and the armed forces of the Tigray People’s Liberation Front broke out in November 2020 and have since led Tigrayan forces beyond their northern stronghold to… Read more »
Peoples Under Threat Data
| 2021 Data | Peoples under Threat value |
|---|---|
| Self-determination conflicts | 4 |
| Major armed conflict | 2 |
| Prior genocide / politicide | 1 |
| Flight of refugees and IDPs | 0.0378 |
| Legacy of vengeance - group grievance | 9.5 |
| Rise of factionalized elites | 9.2 |
| Voice and Accountability | -1.017 |
| Political Stability | -1.738 |
| Rule of Law | -0.398 |
| OECD country risk classification | 7 |
| TOTAL | 17.523 |
The overall measure for each country is based on a basket of 10 indicators. The number in each row is drawn from the source for that particular indicator. The sources of data and calculations used are detailed on the Notes to Table page.
Background
A devastating civil war and humanitarian crisis in Ethiopia has now raged for more than a year with no end in sight. Large-scale armed conflict between the federal government and the armed forces of the Tigray People’s Liberation Front broke out in November 2020 and have since led Tigrayan forces beyond their northern stronghold to the outskirts of the capital, Addis Ababa, potentially threatening the stability and coherence of Ethiopia itself as a political entity. The war has caused tens of thousands of deaths and mass displacement in Amhara and Afar regions, in addition to more than 2 million people uprooted in Tigray alone. Widespread abuses including torture, sexual violence and in some cases mass killings have been committed by federal forces, their Eritrean allies, Tigrayan fighters and other armed groups swept into the conflict. Overshadowed by the war, inter-ethnic violence has deepened elsewhere in the country, particularly the Benishangul-Gumuz region where minorities have been massacred.