Communities at risk
Northern Mande (Dioula), Senoufo, Bete, newly-settled groups
Summary
Spiraling conflict in Burkina Faso has swept into neighbouring Côte d’Ivoire, with a significant upsurge in cross-border attacks by al-Qaeda-linked fighters since March 2021. With attacks striking military personnel and civilians mainly in the Ivoirien districts of Savanes and Zanzan, a worrying sign is the increasing deployment of improvised explosive devices (IEDs): while previously unseen… Read more »
Peoples Under Threat Data
| 2021 Data | Peoples under Threat value |
|---|---|
| Self-determination conflicts | 3 |
| Major armed conflict | 1 |
| Prior genocide / politicide | No data |
| Flight of refugees and IDPs | 0.0036 |
| Legacy of vengeance - group grievance | 7.3 |
| Rise of factionalized elites | 9.6 |
| Voice and Accountability | -0.483 |
| Political Stability | -0.976 |
| Rule of Law | -0.599 |
| OECD country risk classification | 5 |
| TOTAL | 10.786 |
The overall measure for each country is based on a basket of 10 indicators. The number in each row is drawn from the source for that particular indicator. The sources of data and calculations used are detailed on the Notes to Table page.
Background
Spiraling conflict in Burkina Faso has swept into neighbouring Côte d’Ivoire, with a significant upsurge in cross-border attacks by al-Qaeda-linked fighters since March 2021. With attacks striking military personnel and civilians mainly in the Ivoirien districts of Savanes and Zanzan, a worrying sign is the increasing deployment of improvised explosive devices (IEDs): while previously unseen in Côte d’Ivoire, in both Burkina Faso and Niger these have been a prelude to attacks growing in scope and scale. Though still geographically contained to some extent, this crisis compounds pre-existing political tensions in the country, a decade on from a brief but bloody post-election civil war which worsened divisions along ethno-religious lines between the predominantly Muslim north and Christian south. While former President Laurent Gbagbo has since been acquitted of war crimes by the ICC and in October 2021 officially returned to the political arena, the peace process launched by his successor and rival Alassane Ouattara remains fragile, as evidenced by an October 2020 election which precipitated deadly clashes between opposition and government supporters as well as armed militias.