Communities at risk
Muslims, Christians, Kaba (Sara), Mboum, Mbororo, Gula, Aka
Summary
In 2021, the Central African Republic (CAR) remains riven by evolving conflict dynamics since the collapse of a 2019 peace agreement between the government and numerous rebel groups, whose ranks largely derive from the country’s long-marginalized Muslim minority. Amid fraught presidential elections last December, a loose coalition of rebel groups launched an offensive against the… Read more »
Peoples Under Threat Data
| 2021 Data | Peoples under Threat value |
|---|---|
| Self-determination conflicts | No data |
| Major armed conflict | 2 |
| Prior genocide / politicide | No data |
| Flight of refugees and IDPs | 0.3432 |
| Legacy of vengeance - group grievance | 8.1 |
| Rise of factionalized elites | 9.7 |
| Voice and Accountability | -1.273 |
| Political Stability | -2.178 |
| Rule of Law | -1.712 |
| OECD country risk classification | 7 |
| TOTAL | 18.437 |
The overall measure for each country is based on a basket of 10 indicators. The number in each row is drawn from the source for that particular indicator. The sources of data and calculations used are detailed on the Notes to Table page.
Background
In 2021, the Central African Republic (CAR) remains riven by evolving conflict dynamics since the collapse of a 2019 peace agreement between the government and numerous rebel groups, whose ranks largely derive from the country’s long-marginalized Muslim minority. Amid fraught presidential elections last December, a loose coalition of rebel groups launched an offensive against the government, capturing numerous population centres and nearly two thirds of the country outside the capital. Supported mainly by Rwandan soldiers and Russian mercenaries, government forces reversed much of the rebels’ territorial gains, but minimal state capacity and fragmented political authority do little to improve conditions of endemic insecurity across much of CAR. Grave human rights violations including summary killings, sexual violence and abductions have been committed by rebel fighters as well as government forces and their foreign allies. UN peacekeepers, for their part, have been widely criticized for their ineffectual efforts to bring about sustainable peace.