Communities at risk
Armenians
Summary
Azerbaijan has rocketed up the Peoples under Threat index in 2021, primarily owing to events surrounding the Nagorno-Karabakh war with Armenia from September to November 2020, which halted with a Russia-backed ceasefire. Situated within and now partly controlled by Azerbaijan, the breakaway territory of Nagorno-Karabakh is populated by mainly ethnic Armenians, nearly 100,000 of whom… Read more »
Peoples Under Threat Data
| 2021 Data | Peoples under Threat value |
|---|---|
| Self-determination conflicts | 4 |
| Major armed conflict | 2 |
| Prior genocide / politicide | No data |
| Flight of refugees and IDPs | 0.0705 |
| Legacy of vengeance - group grievance | 6.1 |
| Rise of factionalized elites | 7.9 |
| Voice and Accountability | -1.546 |
| Political Stability | -0.725 |
| Rule of Law | -0.691 |
| OECD country risk classification | 5 |
| TOTAL | 13.625 |
The overall measure for each country is based on a basket of 10 indicators. The number in each row is drawn from the source for that particular indicator. The sources of data and calculations used are detailed on the Notes to Table page.
Background
Azerbaijan has rocketed up the Peoples under Threat index in 2021, primarily owing to events surrounding the Nagorno-Karabakh war with Armenia from September to November 2020, which halted with a Russia-backed ceasefire. Situated within and now partly controlled by Azerbaijan, the breakaway territory of Nagorno-Karabakh is populated by mainly ethnic Armenians, nearly 100,000 of whom were recently displaced by fighting. More than 6,500 people, the vast majority soldiers, died in the conflict as Azerbaijan gained control of additional territory previously held by Armenia. Still, attacks by both sides, using indiscriminate weapons systems, were carried out repeatedly on civilian areas far from any discernible military targets. Civilians in conflict-affected areas remain at huge risk, particularly due to the growing number of unexploded landmines and cluster munitions which, following an earlier war decades ago, both sides have used in contravention to international law. Tensions have since flared, especially following border clashes in May and November 2021, which could incite further outbreaks of violence.