Iraq

Peoples Under Threat Ranking:
#3
0

Communities at risk

Shi'a, Sunnis, Kurds, Turkmen, Christians, Mandaeans, Yezidis, Shabak, Faili Kurds, Bahá'ís, Palestinians

Summary

Civilian deaths have risen yet again in Iraq, in the course of the prolonged battle, beginning in October 2016, to retake the city of Mosul from ISIS. Even if ISIS is finally defeated, however, high casualty rates and mass displacement among the Sunni Arab population have contributed to an ongoing or renascent Sunni insurgency. Meanwhile, large areas of central and northern Iraq are… Read more »

Peoples Under Threat Data

2017 Data Peoples under Threat value
Self-determination conflicts5
Major armed conflict2
Prior genocide / politicide1
Flight of refugees and IDPs0.1364
Legacy of vengeance - group grievance9.8
Rise of factionalized elites9.6
Voice and Accountability-1.194
Political Stability-2.287
Rule of Law-1.459
OECD country risk classification7
TOTAL20.913

The overall measure for each country is based on a basket of 10 indicators. The number in each row is drawn from the source for that particular indicator. The sources of data and calculations used are detailed on the Notes to Table page. 

Background

Civilian deaths have risen yet again in Iraq, in the course of the prolonged battle, beginning in October 2016, to retake the city of Mosul from ISIS. Even if ISIS is finally defeated, however, high casualty rates and mass displacement among the Sunni Arab population have contributed to an ongoing or renascent Sunni insurgency. Meanwhile, large areas of central and northern Iraq are now under the control of a range of armed militias, mainly but not exclusively Shi’a, operating under the umbrella of the Hashd al-Shaabi or popular mobilization. Arbitrary detention and extra-judicial killings perpetrated by the militias enjoy general impunity. The post-ISIS future for Iraq is set to be governed by sectarianism.