Iraq

Peoples Under Threat Ranking:
#3
2

Communities at risk

Shi'a, Sunnis, Kurds, Turkmen, Christians, Mandaeans, Yezidis, Shabak, Faili Kurds, Bahá'ís, Palestinians

Summary

Despite successes in pushing back ISIS and regaining territory in the centre and west of the country, Iraq has climbed again in the Peoples under Threat table to be this year’s most prominent riser. Two specific threats in 2016 face a population already exhibiting a high level of vulnerability, with over 3.3 million IDPs and… Read more »

Peoples Under Threat Data

2016 Data Peoples under Threat value
Self-determination conflicts5
Major armed conflict2
Prior genocide / politicide1
Flight of refugees and IDPs0.1232
Legacy of vengeance - group grievance10
Rise of factionalized elites9.6
Voice and Accountability-1.208
Political Stability-2.472
Rule of Law-1.364
OECD country risk classification7
TOTAL20.92

The overall measure for each country is based on a basket of 10 indicators. The number in each row is drawn from the source for that particular indicator. The sources of data and calculations used are detailed on the Notes to Table page. 

Background

Despite successes in pushing back ISIS and regaining territory in the centre and west of the country, Iraq has climbed again in the Peoples under Threat table to be this year’s most prominent riser. Two specific threats in 2016 face a population already exhibiting a high level of vulnerability, with over 3.3 million IDPs and over 8 million requiring humanitarian assistance. A long-planned assault on Iraq’s second city of Mosul, an ISIS stronghold, may create a further 500,000 to 1 million IDPs. Other recent battles over urban centres in Iraq have seen escalating violence from ISIS in an attempt to retain control and high civilian casualty rates from indiscriminate bombardment by the Iraqi Security Forces. Second, the remobilization of the Shi’a militias, with both governmental and religious backing, and the return of Moqtada Al-Sadr to the national political stage, have made further sectarian violence almost inevitable.